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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
45¢
45% implied
NO Price
55¢
55% implied
Volume
$10
1,248 trades
Smart Whales
79
of 654 traders · 16 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

33 YESvs62 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 19 YES vs 53 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+283 new YES$3.2K+440 new NO$20.0K
$2.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 110 buyers — left out of momentum
25 smart whales58 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 69% of the money is not a bet
$443 of $5.5K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $3.3K is hedged across different prices by 9 wallets. True directional: YES $122·NO $1.6K
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.0K(-99.9%)
Whales
33
2
0x29efa7c2...🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·2,822 shares·also $1.4K on NO
$-1410INV $1.4K · WR 55.7%
P
polpotatoes🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.4%
O
orangelin🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·160 shares·also $239 on NO
$-80INV $80 · WR 80.5%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-60INV $60 · WR 61.6%
5
5ffpa4fhedged
Entry 49¢·100 shares·also $21 on NO
$-49INV $49 · WR 56.5%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.7%
L
loseurselfhedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $186 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 85.0%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 12¢·277.3 shares·also $267 on NO
$-33INV $33 · WR 59.4%
A
alexallhedged
Entry 48¢·65 shares·also $34 on NO
$-31INV $31 · WR 66.3%
D
0xd0d1cd02...hedged
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $20 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 63.9%
Showing top 10 of 33

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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