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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$1.3K
68 trades
Smart Whales
67
of 73 traders · 14 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

24 YESvs57 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 52 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+264 new YES$5.4K+378 new NO$11.3K
$2.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 102 buyers — left out of momentum
16 smart whales48 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 93% of the money is not a bet
$47 of $14.0K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $13.0K is hedged across different prices by 12 wallets. True directional: YES $65·NO $962
YES Team
Total Invested
$6.6K
Avg Win Rate
58.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.1K(-62.6%)
Whales
24
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·9,474.1 shares·also $5.0K on NO
$-2984INV $4.7K · WR 57.6%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·1,895 shares·also $922 on NO
$-597INV $948 · WR 56.5%
B
bubblebust🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·720.7 shares·also $368 on NO
$-227INV $360 · WR 55.0%
J
johnchenhc2hedged
Entry 50¢·720 shares·also $400 on NO
$-227INV $360 · WR 84.1%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·85 shares·also $37 on NO
$-27INV $43 · WR 56.4%
M
moontrader1hedged
Entry 50¢·69.5 shares·also $24 on NO
$-22INV $35 · WR 55.2%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 28¢·90.3 shares·also $169 on NO
$-9INV $25 · WR 55.1%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-12INV $19 · WR 58.0%
_
_test_i075_T1
Entry 18¢·30.5 shares
+$0INV $5 · WR 56.9%
E
Extra-Small-Wisteriaboth sides
Entry 50¢·10 shares·also $5 on NO
$-3INV $5 · WR 58.1%
Showing top 10 of 24

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 30% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9…