Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
YES Price
66¢
66% implied
NO Price
34¢
34% implied
Volume
$19
49 trades
Smart Whales
86
of 44 traders · 16 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
41 YESvs61 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars · 27 YES vs 51 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 63%· net of hedges
+378 new YES$8.2K+428 new NO$11.5K
$6.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 167 buyers — left out of momentum
35 smart whales51 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 86% of the money is not a bet
$2.6K of $14.5K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $9.8K is hedged across different prices by 10 wallets. True directional: YES $423·NO $1.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$6.6K
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.6K(-99.0%)
Whales
41
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·10,000 shares·also $4.8K on NO
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-4950
$-4950INV $5.0K · WR 57.6%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·1,756.6 shares·also $885 on NO
Invested
$878
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-870
$-870INV $878 · WR 56.5%
B
bubblebust🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·689.4 shares·also $347 on NO
Invested
$345
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-341
$-341INV $345 · WR 55.0%
J
johnchenhc2hedged
Entry 50¢·152 shares·also $360 on NO
Invested
$76
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-75
$-75INV $76 · WR 84.1%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·80 shares·also $43 on NO
Invested
$40
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $40 · WR 56.4%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 84.5%
V
vfssdfx
Entry 58¢·44.1 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $26 · WR 64.4%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.9%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 79.9%
T
Tender-Idea
Entry 58¢·35 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
76.4%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 · WR 76.4%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 41
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.8K
Avg Win Rate
62.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.6K(+84.7%)
Whales
61
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·9,506.8 shares·also $5.0K on YES
Invested
$4.8K
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$4706
+$4706INV $4.8K · WR 57.6%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·1,770.3 shares·also $878 on YES
Invested
$885
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$876
+$876INV $885 · WR 56.5%
H
hoodquant🥉
Entry 98¢·529 shares
Invested
$517
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $517 · WR 91.2%
J
johnchenhc2hedged
Entry 50¢·720 shares·also $76 on YES
Invested
$360
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$356
+$356INV $360 · WR 84.1%
B
bubblebustboth sides
Entry 50¢·694.5 shares·also $345 on YES
Invested
$347
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$344
+$344INV $347 · WR 55.0%
I
Impressionable-Squash-Venture
Entry 95¢·181.1 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $172 · WR 65.4%
I
iman27
Entry 97¢·103.1 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
93.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $100 · WR 93.8%
D
Donaldobando
Entry 98¢·91.8 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $90 · WR 87.3%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 55¢·93 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$51
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $51 · WR 55.1%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·85 shares·also $40 on YES
Invested
$43
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $43 · WR 56.4%
Showing top 10 of 61
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