Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$915
57 trades
Smart Whales
79
of 63 traders · 13 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
22 YESvs70 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 67 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+287 new YES$3.7K+412 new NO$22.9K
$2.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 116 buyers — left out of momentum
16 smart whales68 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 79% of the money is not a bet
$47 of $15.5K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $12.2K is hedged across different prices by 11 wallets. True directional: YES $483·NO $2.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$6.6K
Avg Win Rate
57.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.6K(-99.9%)
Whales
22
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·10,000 shares·also $4.7K on NO
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-4995
$-4995INV $5.0K · WR 57.6%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·1,716.7 shares·also $960 on NO
Invested
$858
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-858
$-858INV $858 · WR 56.5%
B
bubblebust🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·702.3 shares·also $356 on NO
Invested
$351
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-351
$-351INV $351 · WR 55.0%
M
moontrader1
Entry 50¢·240 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-120
$-120INV $120 · WR 55.2%
F
Few-Caption-Collision
Entry 52¢·99.9 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $52 · WR 58.2%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·85 shares·also $50 on NO
Invested
$43
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $43 · WR 56.4%
L
loseurselfhedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $186 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 84.5%
7
0x74a57c45...
Entry 27¢·110.7 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $30 · WR 57.0%
O
orangelinhedged
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $124 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.9%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 79.9%
O
Oval-Yoyohedged
Entry 3¢·623.7 shares·also $100 on NO
Invested
$21
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $21 · WR 60.2%
Showing top 10 of 22
NO Team
Total Invested
$8.9K
Avg Win Rate
63.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.4K(+72.0%)
Whales
70
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·9,498 shares·also $5.0K on YES
Invested
$4.7K
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$4744
+$4744INV $4.7K · WR 57.6%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·1,919.5 shares·also $858 on YES
Invested
$960
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$959
+$959INV $960 · WR 56.5%
N
newera17🥉
Entry 96¢·717.8 shares
Invested
$689
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $689 · WR 68.2%
B
bubblebusthedged
Entry 50¢·711.5 shares·also $351 on YES
Invested
$356
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$355
+$355INV $356 · WR 55.0%
H
hoodquant
Entry 97¢·342 shares
Invested
$332
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $332 · WR 91.2%
5
0x5bba716c...
Entry 98¢·254.4 shares
Invested
$249
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $249 · WR 92.0%
F
fanbeixiazhu
Entry 99¢·200 shares
Invested
$198
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $198 · WR 76.3%
L
loseurselfhedged
Entry 83¢·225 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$186
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $186 · WR 84.5%
O
orangelinhedged
Entry 83¢·150 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$124
Win Rate
79.9%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $124 · WR 79.9%
S
stcharlos3
Entry 99¢·102 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $101 · WR 69.8%
Showing top 10 of 70
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