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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$33.0K
2,532 trades
Smart Whales
139
of 974 traders · 24 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

57 YESvs106 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 33 YES vs 94 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+496 new YES$6.8K+654 new NO$50.1K
$7.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 220 buyers — left out of momentum
52 smart whales105 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 56% of the money is not a bet
$10.3K of $22.3K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.3K is hedged across different prices by 20 wallets. True directional: YES $335·NO $9.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$6.6K
Avg Win Rate
59.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.5K(-98.5%)
Whales
57
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·9,512.7 shares·also $4.8K on NO
$-4709INV $4.8K · WR 57.6%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·1,299.5 shares·also $633 on NO
$-643INV $650 · WR 56.5%
J
johnchenhc2🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·720 shares·also $360 on NO
$-356INV $360 · WR 84.1%
B
bubblebusthedged
Entry 50¢·687.2 shares·also $339 on NO
$-340INV $344 · WR 55.0%
_
_test_i075_T1
Entry 69¢·79 shares
$-54INV $55 · WR 56.9%
M
moontrader1
Entry 50¢·96.4 shares
$-48INV $48 · WR 55.2%
L
loseurselfhedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $186 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 84.5%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·65 shares·also $40 on NO
$-32INV $33 · WR 56.4%
A
asabovesobelow2
Entry 4¢·875 shares
$-28INV $32 · WR 68.1%
U
Unusualbird
Entry 66¢·46.9 shares
$-31INV $31 · WR 70.9%
Showing top 10 of 57

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 35% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8…