🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$23.2K
1,963 trades
Smart Whales
99
of 800 traders · 22 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

55 YESvs66 NO
46%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 35% YES by dollars · 38 YES vs 53 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 74%· net of hedges
+478 new YES$11.5K+482 new NO$23.5K
$9.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 200 buyers — left out of momentum
54 smart whales63 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 82% of the money is not a bet
$787 of $14.6K is held equally on both sides by 3 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $11.2K is hedged across different prices by 19 wallets. True directional: YES $909·NO $1.7K
YES Team
Total Invested
$6.9K
Avg Win Rate
58.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.9K(-99.9%)
Whales
55
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·10,000 shares·also $4.6K on NO
$-4995INV $5.0K · WR 57.6%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·1,639.1 shares·also $843 on NO
$-819INV $820 · WR 56.5%
B
bubblebust🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·740 shares·also $370 on NO
$-370INV $370 · WR 55.0%
M
moontrader1
Entry 50¢·240 shares
$-120INV $120 · WR 55.2%
P
PotatoBear
Entry 82¢·73.9 shares
$-61INV $61 · WR 58.3%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·80 shares·also $45 on NO
$-40INV $40 · WR 56.4%
L
loseurselfhedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $186 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 84.5%
B
Bitao
Entry 75¢·40 shares
$-30INV $30 · WR 88.6%
O
orangelinhedged
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $124 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 79.9%
R
Raw-Pumpkinseedhedged
Entry 49¢·48.4 shares·also $45 on NO
$-24INV $24 · WR 55.0%
Showing top 10 of 55

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 50ms
Smart money 46% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8…