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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$2
2,405 trades
Smart Whales
88
of 851 traders · 20 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

30 YESvs78 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 16 YES vs 69 NO taking a side · 3 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+376 new YES$6.9K+629 new NO$35.0K
$6.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 188 buyers — left out of momentum
26 smart whales78 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 74% of the money is not a bet
$730 of $16.8K is held equally on both sides by 3 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $11.8K is hedged across different prices by 17 wallets. True directional: YES $244·NO $4.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$6.5K
Avg Win Rate
57.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.4K(-99.0%)
Whales
30
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·9,953.2 shares·also $4.8K on NO
$-4927INV $5.0K · WR 57.7%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·1,800.6 shares·also $850 on NO
$-891INV $900 · WR 56.7%
B
bubblebust🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·682 shares·also $342 on NO
$-338INV $341 · WR 55.0%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 24¢·190.4 shares·also $228 on NO
$-44INV $45 · WR 55.1%
L
loseurselfhedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $186 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 84.2%
T
Tender-Ideahedged
Entry 30¢·92.2 shares·also $59 on NO
$-28INV $28 · WR 76.7%
O
orangelinhedged
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $124 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 79.2%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·45 shares·also $18 on NO
$-22INV $23 · WR 56.5%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
O
ohioismhedged
Entry 12¢·150 shares·also $13 on NO
$-17INV $18 · WR 59.4%
Showing top 10 of 30

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 26% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8…