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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$20
28 trades
Smart Whales
49
of 34 traders · 14 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

20 YESvs43 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 33 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
+226 new YES$1.2K+325 new NO$17.9K
$1.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 103 buyers — left out of momentum
16 smart whales41 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 87% of the money is not a bet
$1.9K of $9.8K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $6.7K is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $224·NO $1.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.5K
Avg Win Rate
57.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.5K(-99.8%)
Whales
20
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·6,865.1 shares·also $3.3K on NO
$-3426INV $3.4K · WR 57.7%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·982 shares·also $487 on NO
$-490INV $491 · WR 56.7%
B
bubblebust🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·727.9 shares·also $362 on NO
$-363INV $364 · WR 55.0%
H
Hinkeboth sides
Entry 50¢·100 shares·also $50 on NO
$-50INV $50 · WR 56.5%
L
loseurselfhedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $186 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 84.2%
O
OhioAI
Entry 3¢·1,044.6 shares
$-26INV $27 · WR 55.1%
O
orangelinhedged
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $124 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 79.2%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
S
shilin6327hedged
Entry 34¢·44.1 shares·also $1 on NO
$-15INV $15 · WR 71.9%
_
_test_i075_T1
Entry 6¢·94.2 shares
$-6INV $6 · WR 57.0%
Showing top 10 of 20

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 32% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8…