Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$527
90 trades
Smart Whales
28
of 59 traders · 10 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
16 YESvs22 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 15 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 56%· net of hedges
+132 new YES$2.3K+138 new NO$1.9K
$670 of this was bought on both sides by the same 50 buyers — left out of momentum
10 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 97% of the money is not a bet
$1.0K of $9.9K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8.6K is hedged across different prices by 6 wallets. True directional: YES $25·NO $302YES Team
Total Invested
$4.8K
Avg Win Rate
57.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$337(-7.0%)
Whales
16
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,696 shares·also $4.0K on NO
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-269
$-269INV $3.8K · WR 57.7%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·990 shares·also $497 on NO
Invested
$495
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $495 · WR 56.7%
B
bubblebust🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·740 shares·also $375 on NO
Invested
$370
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $370 · WR 55.0%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·85 shares·also $48 on NO
Invested
$43
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $43 · WR 56.5%
5
5ffpa4fhedged
Entry 49¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $25 · WR 56.6%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $19 · WR 58.0%
M
MrRobertHouse
Entry 50¢·16.5 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 72.3%
O
otterr
Entry 48¢·12.2 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
80.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 80.3%
2
25689768903hedged
Entry 50¢·10 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 58.3%
E
Extra-Small-Wisteriaboth sides
Entry 50¢·10 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 58.2%
Showing top 10 of 16
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.1K
Avg Win Rate
57.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$336(+6.6%)
Whales
22
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,983.1 shares·also $3.8K on YES
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$279
+$279INV $4.0K · WR 57.7%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·994.7 shares·also $495 on YES
Invested
$497
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $497 · WR 56.7%
B
bubblebust🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $370 on YES
Invested
$375
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $375 · WR 55.0%
I
Impeccable-Sake
Entry 57¢·93.2 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $53 · WR 62.1%
B
0xb543fd77...
Entry 60¢·88 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $53 · WR 55.1%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·95 shares·also $43 on YES
Invested
$48
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $48 · WR 56.5%
5
5ffpa4fhedged
Entry 49¢·50 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $25 · WR 56.6%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 58.0%
7
0x7a07b287...
Entry 60¢·22.7 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $14 · WR 58.8%
P
pacsmachine
Entry 55¢·15.1 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 60.0%
Showing top 10 of 22
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