Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$13.4K
1,283 trades
Smart Whales
84
of 598 traders · 17 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
74 YESvs27 NO
73%27%
73% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 66 YES vs 10 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 76%· net of hedges
+422 new YES$18.9K+289 new NO$8.0K
$5.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 146 buyers — left out of momentum
69 smart whales19 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 70% of the money is not a bet
$895 of $11.4K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $7.1K is hedged across different prices by 11 wallets. True directional: YES $3.2K·NO $168YES Team
Total Invested
$7.2K
Avg Win Rate
66.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.0K(+69.5%)
Whales
74
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,470.1 shares·also $3.0K on NO
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$3731
+$3731INV $3.7K · WR 57.7%
W
wbhk-trader1🥈
Entry 95¢·1,056.4 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $1.0K · WR 92.0%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·952 shares·also $436 on NO
Invested
$476
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$476
+$476INV $476 · WR 56.7%
B
bubblebustboth sides
Entry 50¢·725 shares·also $360 on NO
Invested
$362
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$362
+$362INV $362 · WR 55.0%
P
Periodic-Marketplace
Entry 100¢·214 shares
Invested
$214
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $214 · WR 89.2%
U
Unwilling-Timetable
Entry 98¢·201 shares
Invested
$197
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $197 · WR 68.7%
M
mia1111hedged
Entry 98¢·135 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$132
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $132 · WR 67.1%
5
0x5bba716c...
Entry 98¢·100 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
91.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $98 · WR 91.8%
P
Pythianity
Entry 100¢·93 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $93 · WR 79.6%
K
Kaiji-ThePredictionMarketAnalyst
Entry 99¢·80.8 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $80 · WR 86.5%
Showing top 10 of 74
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.2K
Avg Win Rate
58.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.2K(-99.9%)
Whales
27
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·6,047.7 shares·also $3.7K on YES
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-3021
$-3021INV $3.0K · WR 57.7%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·872 shares·also $476 on YES
Invested
$436
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-436
$-436INV $436 · WR 56.7%
B
bubblebust🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·720 shares·also $362 on YES
Invested
$360
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-360
$-360INV $360 · WR 55.0%
P
Paulymarketer
Entry 47¢·218.7 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-104
$-104INV $104 · WR 63.4%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 84.2%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $43 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.5%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 79.2%
5
5ffpa4f
Entry 49¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $25 · WR 56.6%
O
ohioism
Entry 36¢·64.9 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $24 · WR 59.4%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 46¢·49 shares·also $55 on YES
Invested
$23
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $23 · WR 55.1%
Showing top 10 of 27
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