Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
YES Price
84¢
84% implied
NO Price
16¢
16% implied
Volume
$183
945 trades
Smart Whales
56
of 546 traders · 15 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
52 YESvs19 NO
73%27%
73% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 93% YES by dollars · 46 YES vs 6 NO taking a side · 4 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 88%· net of hedges
+381 new YES$15.8K+229 new NO$2.9K
$1.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 96 buyers — left out of momentum
55 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 88% of the money is not a bet
$771 of $11.2K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $9.1K is hedged across different prices by 11 wallets. True directional: YES $1.3K·NO $104YES Team
Total Invested
$6.2K
Avg Win Rate
61.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.2K(+84.2%)
Whales
52
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,878.6 shares·also $4.0K on NO
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$3935
+$3935INV $3.9K · WR 57.7%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·910.8 shares·also $489 on NO
Invested
$455
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$455
+$455INV $455 · WR 56.7%
X
x317🥉hedged
Entry 80¢·500 shares·also $22 on NO
Invested
$401
Win Rate
79.9%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $401 · WR 79.9%
B
bubblebustboth sides
Entry 50¢·721.1 shares·also $362 on NO
Invested
$361
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$360
+$360INV $361 · WR 55.0%
L
loseurselfhedged
Entry 83¢·225 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$186
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $186 · WR 84.2%
O
orangelinhedged
Entry 83¢·150 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$124
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $124 · WR 79.2%
5
0x5bba716c...
Entry 99¢·100 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
91.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $99 · WR 91.8%
T
Tender-Ideahedged
Entry 61¢·121 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$73
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $73 · WR 76.7%
O
ohioismhedged
Entry 73¢·93.3 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$68
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $68 · WR 59.4%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 71¢·84.2 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $60 · WR 55.1%
Showing top 10 of 52
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.0K
Avg Win Rate
57.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.0K(-99.9%)
Whales
19
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·8,000 shares·also $3.9K on YES
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-3996
$-3996INV $4.0K · WR 57.7%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·978 shares·also $455 on YES
Invested
$489
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-489
$-489INV $489 · WR 56.7%
B
bubblebust🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·724 shares·also $361 on YES
Invested
$362
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-362
$-362INV $362 · WR 55.0%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·80 shares·also $48 on YES
Invested
$40
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $40 · WR 56.5%
L
loseurselfhedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $186 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 84.2%
O
orangelinhedged
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $124 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 79.2%
X
x317hedged
Entry 4¢·500 shares·also $401 on YES
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.9%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $22 · WR 79.9%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
O
ohioismhedged
Entry 21¢·40 shares·also $68 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 59.4%
T
Tender-Ideahedged
Entry 19¢·40 shares·also $73 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 76.7%
Showing top 10 of 19
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