Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$10.4K
1,151 trades
Smart Whales
64
of 525 traders · 18 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
54 YESvs28 NO
66%34%
66% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 64% YES by dollars · 42 YES vs 8 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 89%· net of hedges
+388 new YES$17.1K+234 new NO$3.8K
$3.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 133 buyers — left out of momentum
50 smart whales20 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 74% of the money is not a bet
$898 of $12.2K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8.1K is hedged across different prices by 12 wallets. True directional: YES $2.1K·NO $1.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$7.2K
Avg Win Rate
65.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.6K(+64.1%)
Whales
54
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,995 shares·also $3.5K on NO
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$3878
+$3878INV $4.0K · WR 57.7%
W
wbhk-trader1🥈
Entry 93¢·1,080.1 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $1.0K · WR 92.0%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·919 shares·also $445 on NO
Invested
$460
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$446
+$446INV $460 · WR 56.7%
B
bubblebustboth sides
Entry 50¢·725 shares·also $363 on NO
Invested
$363
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$352
+$352INV $363 · WR 55.0%
K
kusama420
Entry 99¢·309.8 shares
Invested
$307
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-150
$-150INV $307 · WR 75.8%
M
Mars9
Entry 99¢·202 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-98
$-98INV $200 · WR 88.7%
U
Unequaled-Title
Entry 99¢·122.2 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $121 · WR 84.0%
K
Kaiji-ThePredictionMarketAnalyst
Entry 95¢·84.2 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $80 · WR 86.5%
O
ohioismhedged
Entry 95¢·75 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$71
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $71 · WR 59.4%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 93¢·69 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$64
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $64 · WR 55.1%
Showing top 10 of 54
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.6K
Avg Win Rate
58.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.4K(-96.2%)
Whales
28
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,047.1 shares·also $4.0K on YES
Invested
$3.5K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-3418
$-3418INV $3.5K · WR 57.7%
P
Paulymarketer🥈
Entry 22¢·4,911 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-1013
$-1013INV $1.1K · WR 63.4%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·891 shares·also $460 on YES
Invested
$445
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-432
$-432INV $445 · WR 56.7%
B
bubblebustboth sides
Entry 50¢·725 shares·also $363 on YES
Invested
$363
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-352
$-352INV $363 · WR 55.0%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $50 on YES
Invested
$45
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $45 · WR 56.5%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $38 · WR 84.2%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $25 · WR 79.2%
S
shilin6327
Entry 32¢·78.6 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $25 · WR 71.9%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
G
gogogoog-vv
Entry 21¢·75.4 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $16 · WR 55.9%
Showing top 10 of 28
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