Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$15.1K
1,479 trades
Smart Whales
53
of 567 traders · 13 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
25 YESvs41 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 32% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 35 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+297 new YES$3.6K+380 new NO$26.5K
$4.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 137 buyers — left out of momentum
21 smart whales42 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 72% of the money is not a bet
$47 of $10.1K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $7.2K is hedged across different prices by 11 wallets. True directional: YES $911·NO $1.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$4.5K
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.5K(-99.6%)
Whales
25
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,729.2 shares·also $3.0K on NO
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-3861
$-3861INV $3.9K · WR 57.7%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·835.2 shares·also $431 on NO
Invested
$418
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-417
$-417INV $418 · WR 57.2%
H
Hinke🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·80 shares·also $48 on NO
Invested
$40
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $40 · WR 56.5%
L
loseurselfhedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $186 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 83.9%
O
orangelinhedged
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $124 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
78.4%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 78.4%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 32¢·78 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 57.0%
L
Lonely-Dresser
Entry 22¢·88.5 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 · WR 64.7%
O
ohioismhedged
Entry 26¢·75 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $19 · WR 59.5%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
S
shilin6327
Entry 34¢·44.1 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 72.0%
Showing top 10 of 25
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.6K
Avg Win Rate
67.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.7K(+66.6%)
Whales
41
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·6,094 shares·also $3.9K on YES
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$3044
+$3044INV $3.0K · WR 57.7%
5
0x503742d8...🥈
Entry 99¢·786.2 shares
Invested
$778
Win Rate
94.4%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $778 · WR 94.4%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·862.3 shares·also $418 on YES
Invested
$431
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$431
+$431INV $431 · WR 57.2%
M
Mars9
Entry 99¢·202 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $200 · WR 88.7%
U
Unwilling-Timetablehedged
Entry 98¢·201 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$197
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $197 · WR 68.5%
L
loseurselfhedged
Entry 83¢·225 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$186
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $186 · WR 83.9%
O
orangelinhedged
Entry 83¢·150 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$124
Win Rate
78.4%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $124 · WR 78.4%
T
Tender-Ideahedged
Entry 83¢·126.1 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$105
Win Rate
77.0%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $105 · WR 77.0%
5
0x5bba716c...
Entry 99¢·100 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $99 · WR 91.4%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 68¢·91.3 shares·also $9 on YES
Invested
$62
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $62 · WR 55.1%
Showing top 10 of 41
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