🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$19
2,298 trades
Smart Whales
92
of 808 traders · 28 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

51 YESvs69 NO
43%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 20% YES by dollars · 25 YES vs 44 NO taking a side · 11 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 71%· net of hedges
+500 new YES$13.5K+554 new NO$23.2K
$14.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 276 buyers — left out of momentum
51 smart whales71 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 85% of the money is not a bet
$1.6K of $10.1K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $7.0K is hedged across different prices by 21 wallets. True directional: YES $305·NO $1.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.6K
Avg Win Rate
58.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.1K(-89.0%)
Whales
51
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·5,734.2 shares·also $3.2K on NO
$-2552INV $2.9K · WR 57.7%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·716.3 shares·also $355 on NO
$-319INV $358 · WR 57.2%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·710 shares·also $365 on NO
$-316INV $355 · WR 56.2%
B
bubblebustboth sides
Entry 50¢·660 shares·also $331 on NO
$-294INV $330 · WR 55.0%
M
Mature-Mileage
Entry 43¢·212.4 shares
$-80INV $92 · WR 56.9%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 35¢·258.5 shares·also $260 on NO
$-77INV $91 · WR 55.1%
L
Lonely-Dresserhedged
Entry 51¢·95.4 shares·also $13 on NO
$-44INV $49 · WR 64.7%
O
ohioismhedged
Entry 56¢·80 shares·also $8 on NO
$-40INV $45 · WR 59.5%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-33INV $38 · WR 83.9%
T
trade21mhedged
Entry 74¢·50 shares·also $12 on NO
$-34INV $37 · WR 94.3%
Showing top 10 of 51

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 93ms
Smart money 43% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7…