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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$19.0K
2,450 trades
Smart Whales
116
of 838 traders · 31 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

65 YESvs82 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 25% YES by dollars · 40 YES vs 57 NO taking a side · 11 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges
+482 new YES$10.8K+589 new NO$27.3K
$14.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 264 buyers — left out of momentum
63 smart whales80 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 84% of the money is not a bet
$8.2K of $12.0K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.9K is hedged across different prices by 26 wallets. True directional: YES $481·NO $1.5K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.5K
Avg Win Rate
58.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.5K(-98.8%)
Whales
65
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·7,422.6 shares·also $3.7K on NO
$-3674INV $3.7K · WR 57.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·660.9 shares·also $347 on NO
$-327INV $330 · WR 56.2%
B
bubblebust🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·656 shares·also $325 on NO
$-325INV $328 · WR 55.0%
2
0x29efa7c2...hedged
Entry 50¢·592.3 shares·also $329 on NO
$-293INV $296 · WR 57.2%
W
Wong595
Entry 56¢·200 shares
$-111INV $112 · WR 58.9%
C
CiccioPasticci0
Entry 54¢·192.3 shares
$-102INV $103 · WR 70.3%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 42¢·224.8 shares·also $64 on NO
$-93INV $94 · WR 57.0%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 28¢·240.8 shares·also $214 on NO
$-66INV $68 · WR 55.1%
P
PK8
Entry 22¢·204.9 shares
$-44INV $45 · WR 70.9%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·80 shares·also $33 on NO
$-40INV $40 · WR 56.5%
Showing top 10 of 65

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 44% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7…