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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$40.1K
2,729 trades
Smart Whales
143
of 947 traders · 36 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

99 YESvs80 NO
55%45%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 32% YES by dollars · 75 YES vs 55 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 61%· net of hedges
+652 new YES$33.8K+542 new NO$46.3K
$25.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 277 buyers — left out of momentum
98 smart whales78 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 59% of the money is not a bet
$47 of $17.8K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $10.5K is hedged across different prices by 34 wallets. True directional: YES $2.4K·NO $4.9K
YES Team
Total Invested
$7.7K
Avg Win Rate
66.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$7.6K(-99.0%)
Whales
99
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·6,735.8 shares·also $3.4K on NO
$-3368INV $3.4K · WR 57.7%
M
mia1111🥈
Entry 99¢·700 shares
$-693INV $693 · WR 67.0%
H
hoodquant🥉hedged
Entry 98¢·417 shares·also $885 on NO
$-409INV $409 · WR 90.9%
D
0xd33d0d18...hedged
Entry 99¢·400 shares·also $513 on NO
$-396INV $396 · WR 74.2%
2
0x29efa7c2...hedged
Entry 50¢·711.4 shares·also $385 on NO
$-356INV $356 · WR 57.2%
U
Unequaled-Title
Entry 99¢·302 shares
$-299INV $299 · WR 84.0%
U
Unwilling-Timetablehedged
Entry 50¢·402 shares·also $197 on NO
$-199INV $199 · WR 68.5%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 51¢·382.5 shares·also $355 on NO
$-196INV $196 · WR 55.1%
L
loseurselfhedged
Entry 83¢·225 shares·also $38 on NO
$-186INV $186 · WR 83.9%
T
toyotacorola
Entry 99¢·140 shares
$-139INV $139 · WR 95.3%
Showing top 10 of 99

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 55% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7…