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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
55¢
55% implied
NO Price
45¢
45% implied
Volume
$2
20 trades
Smart Whales
51
of 27 traders · 18 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

27 YESvs42 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 62% YES by dollars · 17 YES vs 26 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 56%· net of hedges
+204 new YES$6.9K+204 new NO$5.8K
$3.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 94 buyers — left out of momentum
16 smart whales14 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 90% of the money is not a bet
$182 of $11.5K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $10.2K is hedged across different prices by 13 wallets. True directional: YES $740·NO $448
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.9K
Avg Win Rate
58.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.9K(-83.2%)
Whales
27
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·8,000 shares·also $3.8K on NO
$-3320INV $4.0K · WR 57.8%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·887.1 shares·also $416 on NO
$-368INV $444 · WR 57.6%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·745 shares·also $365 on NO
$-309INV $373 · WR 56.2%
B
bubblebusthedged
Entry 50¢·725 shares·also $359 on NO
$-301INV $363 · WR 55.0%
A
ApexUpDown
Entry 60¢·481 shares
$-248INV $289 · WR 64.9%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 59¢·200.2 shares·also $20 on NO
$-101INV $118 · WR 55.1%
7
796F726B69hedged
Entry 60¢·102 shares·also $44 on NO
$-53INV $61 · WR 69.7%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·80 shares·also $43 on NO
$-33INV $40 · WR 56.2%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 58¢·66.9 shares·also $62 on NO
$-33INV $39 · WR 57.0%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-31INV $38 · WR 83.7%
Showing top 10 of 27

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 39% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6…