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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$2
1,915 trades
Smart Whales
98
of 802 traders · 29 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

47 YESvs80 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 22 YES vs 55 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+434 new YES$8.5K+536 new NO$26.6K
$8.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 205 buyers — left out of momentum
41 smart whales76 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 90% of the money is not a bet
$892 of $12.5K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $10.4K is hedged across different prices by 24 wallets. True directional: YES $99·NO $1.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.7K
Avg Win Rate
59.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.3K(-92.8%)
Whales
47
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,910.2 shares·also $4.0K on NO
$-3678INV $4.0K · WR 57.8%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·816.9 shares·also $420 on NO
$-380INV $408 · WR 57.6%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·745 shares·also $368 on NO
$-346INV $373 · WR 56.2%
J
johnchenhc2both sides
Entry 50¢·720 shares·also $360 on NO
$-335INV $360 · WR 84.2%
B
bubblebusthedged
Entry 50¢·706.4 shares·also $357 on NO
$-328INV $353 · WR 55.0%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-35INV $38 · WR 83.7%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·65 shares·also $25 on NO
$-30INV $33 · WR 56.2%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
$-23INV $25 · WR 78.2%
T
Tender-Ideahedged
Entry 29¢·82 shares·also $13 on NO
$-21INV $24 · WR 77.5%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-17INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 47

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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