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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$2
990 trades
Smart Whales
74
of 541 traders · 19 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

30 YESvs63 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 53 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+257 new YES$2.3K+363 new NO$24.4K
$1.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 104 buyers — left out of momentum
21 smart whales57 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 80% of the money is not a bet
$903 of $12.8K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $9.3K is hedged across different prices by 12 wallets. True directional: YES $70·NO $2.5K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.2K
Avg Win Rate
57.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.2K(-99.4%)
Whales
30
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,758.5 shares·also $4.0K on NO
$-3868INV $3.9K · WR 57.8%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·761.8 shares·also $385 on NO
$-380INV $381 · WR 57.6%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·740 shares·also $362 on NO
$-369INV $370 · WR 56.2%
B
bubblebustboth sides
Entry 50¢·720 shares·also $360 on NO
$-359INV $360 · WR 55.0%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·80 shares·also $43 on NO
$-40INV $40 · WR 56.2%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 83.7%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 78.2%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
N
NewXiaogua
Entry 14¢·119 shares
$-17INV $17 · WR 61.7%
5
5ffpa4f
Entry 49¢·29.1 shares
$-14INV $14 · WR 56.6%
Showing top 10 of 30

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 32% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6…