Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$2
48 trades
Smart Whales
60
of 51 traders · 21 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
39 YESvs42 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 75% YES by dollars · 25 YES vs 24 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 54%· net of hedges
+316 new YES$7.5K+287 new NO$8.2K
$6.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 167 buyers — left out of momentum
31 smart whales37 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 95% of the money is not a bet
$983 of $11.9K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $10.4K is hedged across different prices by 14 wallets. True directional: YES $414·NO $140YES Team
Total Invested
$6.1K
Avg Win Rate
60.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.2K(+52.8%)
Whales
39
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,956.2 shares·also $3.9K on NO
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$2188
+$2188INV $4.0K · WR 57.8%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·826.6 shares·also $420 on NO
Invested
$413
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$227
+$227INV $413 · WR 57.6%
J
johnchenhc2🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·800 shares·also $400 on NO
Invested
$400
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
+$220
+$220INV $400 · WR 84.2%
E
0xe1e556d1...hedged
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $365 on NO
Invested
$375
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$206
+$206INV $375 · WR 56.2%
B
bubblebusthedged
Entry 50¢·717.2 shares·also $354 on NO
Invested
$359
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$197
+$197INV $359 · WR 55.0%
A
ApexUpDown
Entry 64¢·234 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $150 · WR 64.9%
O
ohioism
Entry 67¢·75 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $50 · WR 59.7%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·85 shares·also $40 on NO
Invested
$43
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $43 · WR 56.2%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
83.7%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $38 · WR 83.7%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 78¢·47.1 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$37
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $37 · WR 55.1%
Showing top 10 of 39
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.8K
Avg Win Rate
59.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.2K(-55.1%)
Whales
42
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,854.6 shares·also $4.0K on YES
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-2160
$-2160INV $3.9K · WR 57.8%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·839 shares·also $413 on YES
Invested
$420
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-231
$-231INV $420 · WR 57.6%
J
johnchenhc2🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·800 shares·also $400 on YES
Invested
$400
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
$-220
$-220INV $400 · WR 84.2%
E
0xe1e556d1...hedged
Entry 50¢·730 shares·also $375 on YES
Invested
$365
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-201
$-201INV $365 · WR 56.2%
B
bubblebusthedged
Entry 50¢·707.2 shares·also $359 on YES
Invested
$354
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-194
$-194INV $354 · WR 55.0%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·80 shares·also $43 on YES
Invested
$40
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $40 · WR 56.2%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
83.7%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $38 · WR 83.7%
J
jackjion998hedged
Entry 65¢·47.6 shares·also $37 on YES
Invested
$31
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $31 · WR 66.6%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $25 · WR 78.2%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 42
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