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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
45¢
45% implied
NO Price
55¢
55% implied
Volume
$2
27 trades
Smart Whales
114
of 32 traders · 32 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

50 YESvs96 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 20 YES vs 78 NO taking a side · 13 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+469 new YES$7.2K+614 new NO$41.5K
$9.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 267 buyers — left out of momentum
47 smart whales100 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 63% of the money is not a bet
$2.3K of $16.7K is held equally on both sides by 8 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8.3K is hedged across different prices by 24 wallets. True directional: YES $136·NO $6.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.4K
Avg Win Rate
59.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.3K(-98.7%)
Whales
50
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,395.6 shares·also $3.6K on NO
$-3661INV $3.7K · WR 57.8%
J
johnchenhc2🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·720 shares·also $360 on NO
$-356INV $360 · WR 84.2%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·715 shares·also $360 on NO
$-354INV $358 · WR 56.2%
B
bubblebustboth sides
Entry 50¢·685 shares·also $339 on NO
$-339INV $343 · WR 55.0%
2
0x29efa7c2...hedged
Entry 50¢·680.1 shares·also $357 on NO
$-337INV $340 · WR 57.6%
O
OhioAIhedged
Entry 35¢·127 shares·also $30 on NO
$-43INV $44 · WR 55.2%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 83.7%
O
orangelin
Entry 50¢·50 shares
$-25INV $25 · WR 78.2%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 14¢·155.5 shares·also $177 on NO
$-21INV $22 · WR 55.1%
H
Hinkeboth sides
Entry 50¢·39 shares·also $19 on NO
$-19INV $20 · WR 56.2%
Showing top 10 of 50

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 34% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5…