Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$2
1,607 trades
Smart Whales
89
of 757 traders · 23 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
64 YESvs48 NO
57%43%
57% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 87% YES by dollars · 52 YES vs 27 NO taking a side · 10 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 90%· net of hedges
+499 new YES$23.9K+424 new NO$5.6K
$6.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 201 buyers — left out of momentum
64 smart whales43 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 91% of the money is not a bet
$9.6K of $12.3K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.7K is hedged across different prices by 16 wallets. True directional: YES $926·NO $136YES Team
Total Invested
$6.6K
Avg Win Rate
61.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.7K(+87.0%)
Whales
64
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·7,995 shares·also $4.0K on NO
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$3958
+$3958INV $4.0K · WR 57.8%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·756.3 shares·also $358 on NO
Invested
$378
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$374
+$374INV $378 · WR 57.6%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $370 on NO
Invested
$375
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$371
+$371INV $375 · WR 56.2%
B
bubblebustboth sides
Entry 50¢·735 shares·also $368 on NO
Invested
$368
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$364
+$364INV $368 · WR 55.0%
J
johnchenhc2both sides
Entry 50¢·720 shares·also $360 on NO
Invested
$360
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
+$356
+$356INV $360 · WR 84.2%
U
Unequaled-Title
Entry 99¢·151 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $150 · WR 83.9%
J
jackjion998hedged
Entry 74¢·164.8 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$121
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $121 · WR 66.6%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 80¢·106.6 shares·also $24 on NO
Invested
$85
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $85 · WR 55.1%
K
Kaiji-ThePredictionMarketAnalyst
Entry 98¢·81.6 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $80 · WR 86.2%
D
0xd917ed2e...
Entry 83¢·90.8 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $75 · WR 70.1%
Showing top 10 of 64
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.8K
Avg Win Rate
59.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.7K(-99.0%)
Whales
48
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·7,934 shares·also $4.0K on YES
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-3927
$-3927INV $4.0K · WR 57.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·740 shares·also $375 on YES
Invested
$370
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-366
$-366INV $370 · WR 56.2%
B
bubblebust🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·735 shares·also $368 on YES
Invested
$368
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-364
$-364INV $368 · WR 55.0%
J
johnchenhc2both sides
Entry 50¢·720 shares·also $360 on YES
Invested
$360
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
$-356
$-356INV $360 · WR 84.2%
2
0x29efa7c2...hedged
Entry 50¢·716.6 shares·also $378 on YES
Invested
$358
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-355
$-355INV $358 · WR 57.6%
2
0x24596612...hedged
Entry 35¢·170.8 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$59
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $59 · WR 89.3%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
83.7%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 83.7%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·65 shares·also $29 on YES
Invested
$33
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $33 · WR 56.2%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 78.2%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 27¢·90 shares·also $85 on YES
Invested
$24
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $24 · WR 55.1%
Showing top 10 of 48
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