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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$58.7K
4,703 trades
Smart Whales
146
of 1,109 traders · 52 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

88 YESvs110 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 44 YES vs 93 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 73%· net of hedges
+733 new YES$44.0K+794 new NO$82.4K
$43.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 418 buyers — left out of momentum
91 smart whales115 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 32% of the money is not a bet
$500 of $16.6K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $4.9K is hedged across different prices by 51 wallets. True directional: YES $702·NO $10.5K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.4K
Avg Win Rate
63.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.4K(-98.7%)
Whales
88
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·2,370 shares·also $1.9K on NO
$-1173INV $1.2K · WR 57.7%
B
0xb543fd77...🥈hedged
Entry 36¢·887 shares·also $612 on NO
$-313INV $318 · WR 55.1%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·590.4 shares·also $284 on NO
$-292INV $295 · WR 56.2%
J
johnchenhc2both sides
Entry 50¢·500 shares·also $250 on NO
$-248INV $250 · WR 84.1%
2
0x29efa7c2...hedged
Entry 50¢·250.8 shares·also $185 on NO
$-124INV $125 · WR 57.7%
F
fvpmvp
Entry 42¢·258.6 shares
$-108INV $110 · WR 77.7%
.
.kairos
Entry 31¢·344.5 shares
$-107INV $108 · WR 58.7%
P
PK8
Entry 49¢·209 shares
$-102INV $103 · WR 71.1%
L
loseurselfhedged
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $223 on NO
$-74INV $75 · WR 84.3%
L
lalala67hedged
Entry 38¢·155 shares·also $126 on NO
$-58INV $59 · WR 87.3%
Showing top 10 of 88

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 45% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5…