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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$13.2K
2,637 trades
Smart Whales
109
of 786 traders · 28 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

61 YESvs76 NO
45%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 70% YES by dollars · 35 YES vs 31 NO taking a side · 11 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%· net of hedges
+504 new YES$16.5K+519 new NO$31.0K
$22.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 263 buyers — left out of momentum
61 smart whales77 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 91% of the money is not a bet
$1.3K of $10.4K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8.2K is hedged across different prices by 23 wallets. True directional: YES $660·NO $285
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.4K
Avg Win Rate
58.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.3K(-23.5%)
Whales
61
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,461.8 shares·also $3.5K on NO
$-821INV $3.7K · WR 57.7%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·1,000 shares·also $500 on NO
$-110INV $500 · WR 57.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·709.2 shares·also $359 on NO
$-78INV $355 · WR 56.2%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 60¢·167.9 shares·also $15 on NO
$-35INV $100 · WR 55.1%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $75 on NO
$-17INV $75 · WR 84.3%
N
not-epstein
Entry 93¢·75 shares
$-41INV $70 · WR 64.7%
J
jhjhjhjhjh
Entry 93¢·75 shares
$-41INV $70 · WR 58.7%
O
OhioAIhedged
Entry 46¢·122.9 shares·also $35 on NO
$-8INV $56 · WR 55.1%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 69¢·79 shares·also $13 on NO
$-24INV $55 · WR 56.7%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $45 on NO
$-10INV $45 · WR 78.2%
Showing top 10 of 61

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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