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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$20.6K
1,590 trades
Smart Whales
80
of 682 traders · 21 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

32 YESvs69 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 49 NO taking a side · 12 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+360 new YES$5.3K+469 new NO$36.0K
$5.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 177 buyers — left out of momentum
26 smart whales67 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 83% of the money is not a bet
$9.5K of $12.5K is held equally on both sides by 9 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $822 is hedged across different prices by 12 wallets. True directional: YES $103·NO $2.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.3K
Avg Win Rate
59.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.0K(-95.5%)
Whales
32
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·7,998.9 shares·also $4.0K on NO
$-3879INV $4.0K · WR 57.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·730 shares·also $365 on NO
$-354INV $365 · WR 56.2%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·711.1 shares·also $342 on NO
$-345INV $356 · WR 57.7%
J
johnchenhc2both sides
Entry 50¢·450 shares·also $225 on NO
$-218INV $225 · WR 84.1%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $75 on NO
$-73INV $75 · WR 84.3%
V
Vv-z
Entry 5¢·1,183.7 shares
$-36INV $53 · WR 56.7%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $45 on NO
$-44INV $45 · WR 78.2%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·80 shares·also $35 on NO
$-39INV $40 · WR 55.5%
N
notlikethatboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
$-24INV $25 · WR 67.1%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 32

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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