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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$13.9K
1,593 trades
Smart Whales
86
of 771 traders · 19 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

31 YESvs74 NO
30%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 64 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+399 new YES$5.5K+522 new NO$22.4K
$5.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 187 buyers — left out of momentum
26 smart whales71 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 85% of the money is not a bet
$1.0K of $11.4K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8.7K is hedged across different prices by 14 wallets. True directional: YES $67·NO $1.6K
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.9K
Avg Win Rate
58.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.9K(-99.0%)
Whales
31
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,312.7 shares·also $4.0K on NO
$-3620INV $3.7K · WR 57.8%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·959.8 shares·also $454 on NO
$-475INV $480 · WR 56.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·741.4 shares·also $368 on NO
$-367INV $371 · WR 56.3%
Q
QuadBTChedged
Entry 50¢·261.8 shares·also $150 on NO
$-130INV $131 · WR 58.0%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $75 on NO
$-74INV $75 · WR 84.1%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $45 on NO
$-45INV $45 · WR 78.1%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 39¢·107.6 shares·also $174 on NO
$-42INV $42 · WR 55.0%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·55 shares·also $23 on NO
$-27INV $28 · WR 55.5%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
N
notlikethathedged
Entry 50¢·30 shares·also $25 on NO
$-15INV $15 · WR 67.6%
Showing top 10 of 31

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 29% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4…