Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$8
109 trades
Smart Whales
99
of 97 traders · 27 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
71 YESvs55 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 33% YES by dollars · 32 YES vs 40 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 61%· net of hedges
+627 new YES$25.0K+560 new NO$18.5K
$15.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 290 buyers — left out of momentum
84 smart whales55 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 92% of the money is not a bet
$637 of $11.4K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $9.9K is hedged across different prices by 21 wallets. True directional: YES $302·NO $611YES Team
Total Invested
$5.6K
Avg Win Rate
59.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.7K(+102.4%)
Whales
71
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,743.1 shares·also $4.0K on NO
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$3678
+$3678INV $3.9K · WR 57.8%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·807.3 shares·also $409 on NO
Invested
$404
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$383
+$383INV $404 · WR 56.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·717 shares·also $345 on NO
Invested
$359
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$341
+$341INV $359 · WR 56.3%
Q
QuadBTCboth sides
Entry 50¢·300 shares·also $150 on NO
Invested
$150
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$143
+$143INV $150 · WR 58.0%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 40¢·242 shares·also $79 on NO
Invested
$96
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$139
+$139INV $96 · WR 55.0%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $75 on NO
Invested
$75
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$71
+$71INV $75 · WR 84.1%
O
ohioismhedged
Entry 26¢·275 shares·also $26 on NO
Invested
$71
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$197
+$197INV $71 · WR 59.9%
O
OhioAIhedged
Entry 37¢·180 shares·also $120 on NO
Invested
$66
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$109
+$109INV $66 · WR 55.1%
5
59Fc8ccB91f59ED3C40ex
Entry 93¢·54 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $50 · WR 89.0%
P
PK8
Entry 93¢·54 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $50 · WR 71.1%
Showing top 10 of 71
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.9K
Avg Win Rate
59.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.6K(-95.2%)
Whales
55
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·8,000 shares·also $3.9K on YES
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-3800
$-3800INV $4.0K · WR 57.8%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·818 shares·also $404 on YES
Invested
$409
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-389
$-389INV $409 · WR 56.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·690 shares·also $359 on YES
Invested
$345
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-328
$-328INV $345 · WR 56.3%
Q
QuadBTCboth sides
Entry 50¢·300 shares·also $150 on YES
Invested
$150
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-143
$-143INV $150 · WR 58.0%
O
OhioAIhedged
Entry 69¢·173.1 shares·also $66 on YES
Invested
$120
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-116
$-116INV $120 · WR 55.1%
T
Tender-Ideahedged
Entry 63¢·134.7 shares·also $22 on YES
Invested
$84
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
$-81
$-81INV $84 · WR 78.3%
A
AiPowerRuinhedged
Entry 59¢·134.8 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$80
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $80 · WR 61.4%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 64¢·124.1 shares·also $96 on YES
Invested
$79
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-76
$-76INV $79 · WR 55.0%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $75 on YES
Invested
$75
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-71
$-71INV $75 · WR 84.1%
B
Brisk-Stopsign-Caphedged
Entry 69¢·90 shares·also $28 on YES
Invested
$62
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $62 · WR 60.8%
Showing top 10 of 55
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