Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$2
89 trades
Smart Whales
91
of 83 traders · 24 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
78 YESvs37 NO
68%32%
68% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 68 YES vs 12 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 86%· net of hedges
+491 new YES$27.4K+343 new NO$5.6K
$2.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 159 buyers — left out of momentum
73 smart whales28 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 75% of the money is not a bet
$8.6K of $13.8K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.8K is hedged across different prices by 17 wallets. True directional: YES $3.3K·NO $85YES Team
Total Invested
$8.5K
Avg Win Rate
64.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.4K(+63.9%)
Whales
78
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·8,000 shares·also $4.0K on NO
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$3960
+$3960INV $4.0K · WR 57.8%
H
hoodquant🥈
Entry 99¢·569 shares
Invested
$564
Win Rate
90.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $564 · WR 90.4%
X
x317🥉
Entry 99¢·500 shares
Invested
$495
Win Rate
79.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $495 · WR 79.8%
B
BFEB02
Entry 99¢·488.9 shares
Invested
$484
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $484 · WR 77.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...hedged
Entry 50¢·924.2 shares·also $449 on NO
Invested
$462
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$457
+$457INV $462 · WR 56.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...hedged
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $367 on NO
Invested
$375
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$371
+$371INV $375 · WR 56.3%
J
jhjhjhjhjh
Entry 97¢·225 shares
Invested
$219
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $219 · WR 58.6%
N
not-epstein
Entry 97¢·225 shares
Invested
$219
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $219 · WR 64.6%
S
stcharlos3
Entry 99¢·152 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $150 · WR 69.4%
Q
QuadBTCboth sides
Entry 50¢·300 shares·also $150 on NO
Invested
$150
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$149
+$149INV $150 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 78
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.3K
Avg Win Rate
58.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.2K(-98.8%)
Whales
37
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·7,995 shares·also $4.0K on YES
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-3958
$-3958INV $4.0K · WR 57.8%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·898 shares·also $462 on YES
Invested
$449
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-445
$-445INV $449 · WR 56.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·733.5 shares·also $375 on YES
Invested
$367
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-363
$-363INV $367 · WR 56.3%
Q
QuadBTCboth sides
Entry 50¢·300 shares·also $150 on YES
Invested
$150
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-149
$-149INV $150 · WR 58.0%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $75 on YES
Invested
$75
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-74
$-74INV $75 · WR 84.1%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $45 on YES
Invested
$45
Win Rate
78.1%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $45 · WR 78.1%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·80 shares·also $45 on YES
Invested
$40
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $40 · WR 55.5%
B
0xb2b4ec88...
Entry 52¢·56.6 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $29 · WR 55.5%
A
Alfabaguera
Entry 52¢·48.4 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 59.1%
N
notlikethathedged
Entry 50¢·40 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$20
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 · WR 67.6%
Showing top 10 of 37
Smart Whale Trades
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