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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$16
2,332 trades
Smart Whales
108
of 890 traders · 32 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

75 YESvs65 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 53% YES by dollars · 43 YES vs 42 NO taking a side · 10 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 65%· net of hedges
+583 new YES$25.2K+557 new NO$17.7K
$17.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 290 buyers — left out of momentum
71 smart whales65 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 87% of the money is not a bet
$1.0K of $12.3K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $9.6K is hedged across different prices by 26 wallets. True directional: YES $873·NO $790
YES Team
Total Invested
$8.4K
Avg Win Rate
66.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.5K(+53.7%)
Whales
75
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,753.3 shares·also $4.0K on NO
+$3760INV $3.9K · WR 57.8%
B
BFEB02🥈
Entry 99¢·1,000 shares
$-485INV $990 · WR 77.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·758.5 shares·also $373 on NO
+$368INV $379 · WR 56.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...both sides
Entry 50¢·705 shares·also $356 on NO
+$342INV $353 · WR 56.3%
M
mia1111
Entry 99¢·258.5 shares
$-125INV $256 · WR 66.3%
R
respectmyauthoritah
Entry 99¢·250 shares
$-121INV $248 · WR 80.7%
Z
zuccstreet
Entry 90¢·223.7 shares
+$19INV $201 · WR 86.7%
M
Mars9
Entry 99¢·202 shares
$-98INV $200 · WR 88.6%
Q
QuadBTChedged
Entry 50¢·285.1 shares·also $150 on NO
+$138INV $143 · WR 58.0%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 59¢·230.6 shares·also $98 on NO
+$90INV $137 · WR 55.0%
Showing top 10 of 75

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 52% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4…