🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$6
2,398 trades
Smart Whales
120
of 904 traders · 35 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

65 YESvs90 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 34 YES vs 71 NO taking a side · 13 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%· net of hedges
+563 new YES$13.1K+627 new NO$26.8K
$16.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 313 buyers — left out of momentum
61 smart whales92 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 76% of the money is not a bet
$9.8K of $14.2K is held equally on both sides by 8 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $955 is hedged across different prices by 27 wallets. True directional: YES $421·NO $3.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.8K
Avg Win Rate
58.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.8K(-98.9%)
Whales
65
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·7,990 shares·also $4.0K on NO
$-3955INV $4.0K · WR 57.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·718.7 shares·also $358 on NO
$-356INV $359 · WR 56.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·699.8 shares·also $349 on NO
$-346INV $350 · WR 56.8%
S
Standard-Patriot-Tracksuit
Entry 67¢·300 shares
$-198INV $200 · WR 61.7%
Q
QuadBTCboth sides
Entry 50¢·300 shares·also $150 on NO
$-149INV $150 · WR 58.0%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 55¢·238 shares·also $190 on NO
$-129INV $130 · WR 55.0%
L
loseurselfhedged
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $223 on NO
$-74INV $75 · WR 84.1%
T
Tender-Ideahedged
Entry 35¢·147.1 shares·also $27 on NO
$-51INV $52 · WR 78.3%
O
orangelinhedged
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $144 on NO
$-45INV $45 · WR 78.1%
O
OhioAIhedged
Entry 45¢·96 shares·also $129 on NO
$-43INV $43 · WR 55.1%
Showing top 10 of 65

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 196ms
Smart money 41% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4…