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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
84¢
84% implied
NO Price
16¢
16% implied
Volume
$2
2,367 trades
Smart Whales
105
of 910 traders · 28 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

82 YESvs51 NO
62%38%
62% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 88% YES by dollars · 68 YES vs 26 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 82%· net of hedges
+627 new YES$28.9K+516 new NO$12.6K
$15.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 271 buyers — left out of momentum
80 smart whales46 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 78% of the money is not a bet
$853 of $12.9K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $9.3K is hedged across different prices by 22 wallets. True directional: YES $2.5K·NO $330
YES Team
Total Invested
$7.6K
Avg Win Rate
63.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.3K(+70.2%)
Whales
82
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,767 shares·also $4.0K on NO
+$3845INV $3.9K · WR 57.8%
X
x317🥈
Entry 99¢·500 shares
+$2INV $495 · WR 79.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·726 shares·also $358 on NO
+$359INV $363 · WR 56.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...both sides
Entry 50¢·675.8 shares·also $339 on NO
+$335INV $338 · WR 56.8%
L
loseurselfhedged
Entry 75¢·300 shares·also $75 on NO
+$75INV $224 · WR 84.1%
N
not-epstein
Entry 96¢·225.3 shares
+$8INV $216 · WR 64.6%
J
jhjhjhjhjh
Entry 94¢·225.3 shares
+$12INV $212 · WR 58.6%
M
Mars9
Entry 99¢·202 shares
+$1INV $200 · WR 88.6%
Q
QuadBTChedged
Entry 50¢·286.9 shares·also $150 on NO
+$142INV $143 · WR 58.0%
0
010101adshedged
Entry 75¢·160 shares·also $17 on NO
+$39INV $120 · WR 65.3%
Showing top 10 of 82

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 63% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4…