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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$18.5K
1,743 trades
Smart Whales
79
of 783 traders · 22 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

65 YESvs36 NO
64%36%
64% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 68% YES by dollars · 59 YES vs 16 NO taking a side · 4 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 93%· net of hedges
+524 new YES$32.2K+413 new NO$4.9K
$5.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 189 buyers — left out of momentum
65 smart whales30 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 83% of the money is not a bet
$983 of $11.1K is held equally on both sides by 3 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8.2K is hedged across different prices by 19 wallets. True directional: YES $1.3K·NO $594
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.9K
Avg Win Rate
60.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.7K(+80.6%)
Whales
65
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·6,929.1 shares·also $4.0K on NO
+$3461INV $3.5K · WR 57.8%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·814.5 shares·also $403 on NO
+$407INV $407 · WR 56.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·745 shares·also $370 on NO
+$372INV $373 · WR 56.3%
2
286F265f-178607406
Entry 97¢·179.4 shares
+$5INV $174 · WR 93.1%
J
jhjhjhjhjh
Entry 95¢·175 shares
+$8INV $167 · WR 58.6%
N
not-epstein
Entry 95¢·175 shares
+$8INV $167 · WR 64.6%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 81¢·203.7 shares·also $51 on NO
+$38INV $166 · WR 55.0%
Q
QuadBTChedged
Entry 50¢·220.7 shares·also $150 on NO
+$110INV $110 · WR 58.0%
K
Kaiji-ThePredictionMarketAnalyst
Entry 98¢·81.6 shares
+$1INV $80 · WR 87.2%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $75 on NO
+$75INV $75 · WR 84.1%
Showing top 10 of 65

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 65% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4…