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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$680
1,682 trades
Smart Whales
71
of 728 traders · 22 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

33 YESvs60 NO
36%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 51 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+384 new YES$7.3K+531 new NO$26.4K
$7.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 216 buyers — left out of momentum
29 smart whales60 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 89% of the money is not a bet
$8.6K of $11.6K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.8K is hedged across different prices by 16 wallets. True directional: YES $141·NO $1.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.3K
Avg Win Rate
58.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.3K(-99.9%)
Whales
33
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·7,990.7 shares·also $4.0K on NO
$-3991INV $4.0K · WR 57.8%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·902.3 shares·also $441 on NO
$-451INV $451 · WR 56.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·725 shares·also $374 on NO
$-362INV $363 · WR 56.3%
Q
QuadBTCboth sides
Entry 50¢·300 shares·also $150 on NO
$-150INV $150 · WR 58.0%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $75 on NO
$-75INV $75 · WR 84.1%
S
Silky-Housework
Entry 65¢·79.4 shares
$-51INV $51 · WR 58.3%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $45 on NO
$-45INV $45 · WR 78.1%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $30 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 55.5%
C
Cautious-Hostess
Entry 29¢·89.3 shares
$-26INV $26 · WR 66.7%
D
darthgeekboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 84.9%
Showing top 10 of 33

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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