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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$1.4K
1,487 trades
Smart Whales
82
of 710 traders · 21 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

33 YESvs70 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 57 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+362 new YES$6.5K+505 new NO$38.3K
$5.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 181 buyers — left out of momentum
26 smart whales64 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 63% of the money is not a bet
$1.1K of $14.8K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8.3K is hedged across different prices by 14 wallets. True directional: YES $612·NO $4.8K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.3K
Avg Win Rate
60.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.3K(-99.9%)
Whales
33
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,127.7 shares·also $3.9K on NO
$-3560INV $3.6K · WR 57.8%
L
lsz111🥈
Entry 9¢·5,978 shares
$-539INV $542 · WR 76.2%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $375 on NO
$-375INV $375 · WR 56.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...hedged
Entry 50¢·744.2 shares·also $378 on NO
$-372INV $372 · WR 56.8%
Q
QuadBTChedged
Entry 50¢·283 shares·also $145 on NO
$-141INV $142 · WR 58.0%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $75 on NO
$-75INV $75 · WR 84.1%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $45 on NO
$-45INV $45 · WR 78.1%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·85 shares·also $40 on NO
$-42INV $43 · WR 55.5%
V
vfssdfxhedged
Entry 62¢·41.3 shares·also $1 on NO
$-26INV $26 · WR 64.0%
D
darthgeekboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 84.9%
Showing top 10 of 33

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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