Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$349
44 trades
Smart Whales
81
of 51 traders · 23 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
63 YESvs41 NO
61%39%
61% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 89% YES by dollars · 51 YES vs 21 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 84%· net of hedges
+582 new YES$27.0K+456 new NO$9.9K
$11.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 215 buyers — left out of momentum
74 smart whales43 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 90% of the money is not a bet
$9.0K of $11.3K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.1K is hedged across different prices by 16 wallets. True directional: YES $985·NO $128YES Team
Total Invested
$6.2K
Avg Win Rate
60.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.8K(+60.9%)
Whales
63
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·7,936.4 shares·also $4.0K on NO
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$2897
+$2897INV $4.0K · WR 57.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·735 shares·also $370 on NO
Invested
$368
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$268
+$268INV $368 · WR 56.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·529.2 shares·also $256 on NO
Invested
$265
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$193
+$193INV $265 · WR 56.8%
8
0x85b3f0fe...
Entry 51¢·321.7 shares
Invested
$164
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $164 · WR 58.7%
Q
QuadBTChedged
Entry 50¢·295 shares·also $150 on NO
Invested
$148
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$108
+$108INV $148 · WR 58.0%
K
Kurisxinhedged
Entry 73¢·200 shares·also $40 on NO
Invested
$146
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $146 · WR 67.5%
T
Twin-Sanction
Entry 60¢·172.4 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $103 · WR 60.1%
F
Foolhardy-Recipe
Entry 76¢·133.1 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $102 · WR 75.0%
B
boobinati
Entry 95¢·105.3 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $100 · WR 76.2%
V
vx-ttfsyh
Entry 83¢·114 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $95 · WR 90.9%
Showing top 10 of 63
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.2K
Avg Win Rate
58.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.8K(-71.9%)
Whales
41
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·8,000 shares·also $4.0K on YES
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-2920
$-2920INV $4.0K · WR 57.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·740 shares·also $368 on YES
Invested
$370
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-270
$-270INV $370 · WR 56.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·512.5 shares·also $265 on YES
Invested
$256
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-187
$-187INV $256 · WR 56.8%
Q
QuadBTChedged
Entry 50¢·300 shares·also $148 on YES
Invested
$150
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-110
$-110INV $150 · WR 58.0%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $75 on YES
Invested
$75
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $75 · WR 84.1%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·100 shares·also $43 on YES
Invested
$50
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $50 · WR 55.5%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $45 on YES
Invested
$45
Win Rate
78.1%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $45 · WR 78.1%
K
Kurisxinhedged
Entry 13¢·299.9 shares·also $146 on YES
Invested
$40
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $40 · WR 67.5%
D
darthgeekboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $25 · WR 84.9%
5
5ffpa4f
Entry 49¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $25 · WR 56.5%
Showing top 10 of 41
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