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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$18.8K
2,010 trades
Smart Whales
97
of 811 traders · 25 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

77 YESvs45 NO
63%37%
63% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 70 YES vs 23 NO taking a side · 4 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 82%· net of hedges
+595 new YES$27.8K+381 new NO$9.9K
$9.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 193 buyers — left out of momentum
84 smart whales37 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 71% of the money is not a bet
$98 of $14.5K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $10.2K is hedged across different prices by 21 wallets. True directional: YES $3.8K·NO $425
YES Team
Total Invested
$9.0K
Avg Win Rate
66.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.4K(+60.3%)
Whales
77
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,857.4 shares·also $4.0K on NO
+$3889INV $3.9K · WR 57.8%
B
BFEB02🥈
Entry 99¢·931 shares
+$5INV $922 · WR 77.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·763.3 shares·also $371 on NO
+$378INV $382 · WR 56.8%
M
mia1111hedged
Entry 99¢·374.1 shares·also $1 on NO
+$2INV $370 · WR 66.3%
E
0xe1e556d1...hedged
Entry 50¢·696.8 shares·also $360 on NO
+$345INV $348 · WR 56.3%
R
respectmyauthoritah
Entry 99¢·250 shares
+$1INV $248 · WR 80.7%
L
loseurselfhedged
Entry 75¢·300 shares·also $75 on NO
+$75INV $224 · WR 84.1%
Z
zuccstreet
Entry 98¢·204.1 shares
+$3INV $200 · WR 86.7%
M
Mars9
Entry 99¢·202 shares
+$1INV $200 · WR 88.6%
U
Unequaled-Title
Entry 99¢·202 shares
+$1INV $200 · WR 83.9%
Showing top 10 of 77

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 63% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4…