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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$29.6K
1,811 trades
Smart Whales
72
of 724 traders · 19 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

30 YESvs61 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 50 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+390 new YES$6.9K+527 new NO$25.3K
$8.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 215 buyers — left out of momentum
24 smart whales68 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 91% of the money is not a bet
$8.6K of $10.5K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $952 is hedged across different prices by 12 wallets. True directional: YES $57·NO $881
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.9K
Avg Win Rate
58.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.9K(-99.9%)
Whales
30
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·8,000 shares·also $4.0K on NO
$-3996INV $4.0K · WR 57.8%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·690 shares·also $363 on NO
$-345INV $345 · WR 56.8%
Q
QuadBTC🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·300 shares·also $150 on NO
$-150INV $150 · WR 58.0%
C
Cumbersome-Finisherhedged
Entry 61¢·169.5 shares·also $127 on NO
$-103INV $103 · WR 62.0%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $75 on NO
$-75INV $75 · WR 84.1%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $45 on NO
$-45INV $45 · WR 78.1%
D
darthgeekboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 84.9%
_
_test_i075_T1
Entry 35¢·58 shares
$-20INV $20 · WR 56.8%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 14¢·87.8 shares·also $75 on NO
$-12INV $13 · WR 55.0%
Showing top 10 of 30

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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