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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$110
119 trades
Smart Whales
113
of 84 traders · 25 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

99 YESvs39 NO
72%28%
72% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 90 YES vs 16 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 83%· net of hedges
+605 new YES$45.9K+376 new NO$13.7K
$11.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 185 buyers — left out of momentum
101 smart whales36 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 65% of the money is not a bet
$916 of $14.5K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8.5K is hedged across different prices by 19 wallets. True directional: YES $4.8K·NO $254
YES Team
Total Invested
$9.5K
Avg Win Rate
67.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.2K(+54.5%)
Whales
99
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·8,000 shares·also $3.8K on NO
+$3960INV $4.0K · WR 57.8%
H
hoodquant🥈
Entry 98¢·811.9 shares
+$12INV $796 · WR 90.4%
B
BFEB02🥉
Entry 99¢·730.4 shares
+$4INV $723 · WR 77.3%
S
sdfghchedged
Entry 97¢·650 shares·also $3 on NO
+$14INV $633 · WR 56.5%
X
x317
Entry 92¢·500 shares
+$38INV $460 · WR 79.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...both sides
Entry 50¢·715 shares·also $360 on NO
+$354INV $358 · WR 56.3%
P
Periodic-Marketplace
Entry 99¢·258 shares
+$1INV $256 · WR 88.9%
B
Bernacca
Entry 94¢·212.9 shares
+$11INV $201 · WR 68.4%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 78¢·253.8 shares·also $16 on NO
+$55INV $197 · WR 55.0%
2
0x29efa7c2...hedged
Entry 50¢·372.7 shares·also $200 on NO
+$184INV $186 · WR 56.8%
Showing top 10 of 99

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 72% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4…