🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$21.9K
2,114 trades
Smart Whales
101
of 773 traders · 27 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

38 YESvs90 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 82 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 83%· net of hedges
+391 new YES$9.7K+569 new NO$34.1K
$7.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 211 buyers — left out of momentum
35 smart whales97 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 70% of the money is not a bet
$348 of $11.7K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $7.9K is hedged across different prices by 23 wallets. True directional: YES $46·NO $3.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.1K
Avg Win Rate
58.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.1K(-99.0%)
Whales
38
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·6,931.2 shares·also $4.0K on NO
$-3431INV $3.5K · WR 57.8%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·443.2 shares·also $231 on NO
$-219INV $222 · WR 56.8%
Q
QuadBTC🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·300 shares·also $150 on NO
$-149INV $150 · WR 58.0%
L
loseurselfhedged
Entry 50¢·100 shares·also $149 on NO
$-50INV $50 · WR 84.1%
O
orangelinhedged
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $144 on NO
$-45INV $45 · WR 78.1%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·70 shares·also $40 on NO
$-35INV $35 · WR 55.5%
O
orangelin1hedged
Entry 50¢·55 shares·also $28 on NO
$-27INV $27 · WR 58.8%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 16¢·156.1 shares·also $173 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 55.0%
5
5ffpa4f
Entry 49¢·50 shares
$-24INV $25 · WR 56.5%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 38

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 3ms (cached)
Smart money 29% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4…