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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$516
41 trades
Smart Whales
46
of 53 traders · 16 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

31 YESvs31 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 47% YES by dollars · 18 YES vs 19 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 61%· net of hedges
+243 new YES$5.6K+201 new NO$4.1K
$2.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 85 buyers — left out of momentum
20 smart whales15 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 96% of the money is not a bet
$1.7K of $10.4K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8.3K is hedged across different prices by 10 wallets. True directional: YES $208·NO $236
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.2K
Avg Win Rate
57.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$716(+13.8%)
Whales
31
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,842 shares·also $4.0K on NO
+$588INV $3.9K · WR 57.8%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·800.6 shares·also $397 on NO
+$60INV $400 · WR 56.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $375 on NO
+$56INV $375 · WR 56.3%
Q
QuadBTChedged
Entry 50¢·284.7 shares·also $150 on NO
+$21INV $142 · WR 58.0%
T
Twin-Sanction
Entry 73¢·138.9 shares
$-22INV $102 · WR 60.1%
H
Hinkeboth sides
Entry 50¢·85 shares·also $43 on NO
+$6INV $43 · WR 55.5%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 59¢·49 shares·also $12 on NO
$-1INV $29 · WR 55.0%
O
orangelin1hedged
Entry 51¢·55 shares·also $28 on NO
+$4INV $28 · WR 58.8%
5
5ffpa4fhedged
Entry 49¢·50 shares·also $14 on NO
+$4INV $25 · WR 56.5%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
+$3INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 31

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 52% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4…