๐Ÿ‹OrcaLayer
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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51ยข
51% implied
NO Price
49ยข
49% implied
Volume
$31
65 trades
Smart Whales
66
of 76 traders ยท 21 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

34 YESvs53 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 18% YES by dollars ยท 15 YES vs 45 NO taking a side ยท 6 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 74%ยท net of hedges
+264 new YES$4.6K+309 new NO$10.0K
$3.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 104 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
24 smart whales38 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis ยท 90% of the money is not a bet
$538 of $10.9K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets โ€” not a bet on the outcome. $9.2K is hedged across different prices by 15 wallets. True directional: YES $199ยทNO $903
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.1K
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.4K(-86.8%)
Whales
34
A
arcsine-barrister๐Ÿฅ‡hedged
Entry 50ยขยท7,575.1 sharesยทalso $4.0K on NO
$-3295INV $3.8K ยท WR 57.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...๐Ÿฅˆhedged
Entry 50ยขยท740 sharesยทalso $375 on NO
$-322INV $370 ยท WR 56.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...๐Ÿฅ‰hedged
Entry 50ยขยท715.8 sharesยทalso $384 on NO
$-311INV $358 ยท WR 56.8%
Q
QuadBTCboth sides
Entry 50ยขยท300 sharesยทalso $150 on NO
$-131INV $150 ยท WR 58.0%
O
ohmyokx
Entry 51ยขยท204.1 shares
$-90INV $104 ยท WR 56.5%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50ยขยท100 sharesยทalso $50 on NO
$-44INV $50 ยท WR 84.1%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50ยขยท90 sharesยทalso $45 on NO
$-39INV $45 ยท WR 78.1%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50ยขยท85 sharesยทalso $48 on NO
$-37INV $43 ยท WR 55.5%
M
makmxhedged
Entry 34ยขยท117 sharesยทalso $10 on NO
$-32INV $40 ยท WR 56.3%
O
orangelin1hedged
Entry 48ยขยท55 sharesยทalso $25 on NO
$-23INV $27 ยท WR 58.8%
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Smart money 30% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4โ€ฆ