Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$16.7K
1,591 trades
Smart Whales
76
of 695 traders · 23 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
64 YESvs35 NO
65%35%
65% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 53 YES vs 14 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 87%· net of hedges
+461 new YES$28.2K+379 new NO$6.3K
$4.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 169 buyers — left out of momentum
60 smart whales29 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 75% of the money is not a bet
$8.5K of $13.5K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.6K is hedged across different prices by 16 wallets. True directional: YES $3.0K·NO $333YES Team
Total Invested
$8.1K
Avg Win Rate
66.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.3K(+65.8%)
Whales
64
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·7,980 shares·also $4.0K on NO
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$3986
+$3986INV $4.0K · WR 57.8%
H
hoodquant🥈
Entry 98¢·1,385 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
90.4%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $1.4K · WR 90.4%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·765.2 shares·also $325 on NO
Invested
$383
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$382
+$382INV $383 · WR 56.8%
B
BFEB02
Entry 99¢·375 shares
Invested
$371
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $371 · WR 77.3%
E
0xe1e556d1...hedged
Entry 50¢·715 shares·also $365 on NO
Invested
$358
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$357
+$357INV $358 · WR 56.3%
S
stcharlos3
Entry 99¢·303 shares
Invested
$300
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $300 · WR 69.4%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 71¢·275.1 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$194
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $194 · WR 55.0%
Q
QuadBTCboth sides
Entry 50¢·300 shares·also $150 on NO
Invested
$150
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$150
+$150INV $150 · WR 58.0%
M
mia1111hedged
Entry 98¢·135 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$132
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $132 · WR 66.3%
K
Kaiji-ThePredictionMarketAnalyst
Entry 100¢·80.2 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $80 · WR 87.2%
Showing top 10 of 64
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.4K
Avg Win Rate
58.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.4K(-99.9%)
Whales
35
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·7,990 shares·also $4.0K on YES
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-3991
$-3991INV $4.0K · WR 57.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·730 shares·also $358 on YES
Invested
$365
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-365
$-365INV $365 · WR 56.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·649.4 shares·also $383 on YES
Invested
$325
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-324
$-324INV $325 · WR 56.8%
O
ohmyokx
Entry 52¢·394.3 shares
Invested
$207
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-207
$-207INV $207 · WR 56.5%
Q
QuadBTCboth sides
Entry 50¢·300 shares·also $150 on YES
Invested
$150
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-150
$-150INV $150 · WR 58.0%
M
moontrader1
Entry 50¢·130.8 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $65 · WR 55.3%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·100 shares·also $50 on YES
Invested
$50
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $50 · WR 84.1%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $45 on YES
Invested
$45
Win Rate
78.1%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $45 · WR 78.1%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$45
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $45 · WR 55.5%
O
orangelin1hedged
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $35 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 58.8%
Showing top 10 of 35
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