Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$10
2,203 trades
Smart Whales
118
of 852 traders · 36 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
74 YESvs80 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 78% YES by dollars · 48 YES vs 54 NO taking a side · 14 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 52%· net of hedges
+550 new YES$21.6K+529 new NO$20.4K
$16.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 258 buyers — left out of momentum
70 smart whales73 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 78% of the money is not a bet
$1.3K of $13.2K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $9.1K is hedged across different prices by 29 wallets. True directional: YES $2.2K·NO $628YES Team
Total Invested
$7.4K
Avg Win Rate
63.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.5K(+74.8%)
Whales
74
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,790.7 shares·also $4.0K on NO
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$3891
+$3891INV $3.9K · WR 57.8%
B
BFEB02🥈
Entry 99¢·931 shares
Invested
$922
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $922 · WR 77.3%
M
mia1111🥉hedged
Entry 99¢·535 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$528
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $528 · WR 66.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...hedged
Entry 50¢·828.7 shares·also $403 on NO
Invested
$414
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$414
+$414INV $414 · WR 56.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...both sides
Entry 50¢·690 shares·also $346 on NO
Invested
$345
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$345
+$345INV $345 · WR 56.3%
Q
QuadBTCboth sides
Entry 50¢·300 shares·also $150 on NO
Invested
$150
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$150
+$150INV $150 · WR 58.0%
H
hoodquant
Entry 99¢·148 shares
Invested
$147
Win Rate
90.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $147 · WR 90.4%
K
Kaiji-ThePredictionMarketAnalyst
Entry 98¢·81.6 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $80 · WR 87.2%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 47¢·129.6 shares·also $95 on NO
Invested
$61
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $61 · WR 55.0%
O
ohmyokx
Entry 44¢·119 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $52 · WR 56.5%
Showing top 10 of 74
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.8K
Avg Win Rate
59.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.8K(-99.8%)
Whales
80
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,995 shares·also $3.9K on YES
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-3994
$-3994INV $4.0K · WR 57.8%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·806.4 shares·also $414 on YES
Invested
$403
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-403
$-403INV $403 · WR 56.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·692.1 shares·also $345 on YES
Invested
$346
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-346
$-346INV $346 · WR 56.3%
Q
QuadBTCboth sides
Entry 50¢·300 shares·also $150 on YES
Invested
$150
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-150
$-150INV $150 · WR 58.0%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 60¢·156.7 shares·also $61 on YES
Invested
$95
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-95
$-95INV $95 · WR 55.0%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 56¢·145.2 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$82
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-81
$-81INV $82 · WR 56.8%
Z
zhangy666
Entry 87¢·58 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
89.8%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $50 · WR 89.8%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·100 shares·also $50 on YES
Invested
$50
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $50 · WR 84.1%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $45 on YES
Invested
$45
Win Rate
78.1%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $45 · WR 78.1%
D
Dumbfoll
Entry 90¢·50 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $45 · WR 63.1%
Showing top 10 of 80
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