🐋OrcaLayer
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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$14.5K
1,701 trades
Smart Whales
99
of 814 traders · 27 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

38 YESvs88 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 76 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+385 new YES$4.9K+559 new NO$30.7K
$4.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 160 buyers — left out of momentum
31 smart whales84 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 62% of the money is not a bet
$8.2K of $17.3K is held equally on both sides by 9 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.6K is hedged across different prices by 18 wallets. True directional: YES $85·NO $6.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.5K
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.4K(-99.0%)
Whales
38
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·7,995 shares·also $4.0K on NO
$-3958INV $4.0K · WR 58.1%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·808 shares·also $425 on NO
$-400INV $404 · WR 57.0%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·725 shares·also $375 on NO
$-359INV $363 · WR 56.3%
B
bubblebusthedged
Entry 50¢·710.4 shares·also $360 on NO
$-352INV $355 · WR 55.0%
M
moontrader1hedged
Entry 49¢·92 shares·also $120 on NO
$-45INV $45 · WR 55.3%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $45 on NO
$-45INV $45 · WR 78.0%
O
orangelin1hedged
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $30 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 60.3%
Q
QuadBTChedged
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $23 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 60.1%
D
darthgeekboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 84.8%
5
5ffpa4f
Entry 49¢·50 shares
$-24INV $25 · WR 56.5%
Showing top 10 of 38

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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