🐋OrcaLayer
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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$25.3K
1,163 trades
Smart Whales
84
of 679 traders · 22 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

35 YESvs71 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 54 NO taking a side · 11 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+320 new YES$4.7K+452 new NO$21.7K
$3.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 122 buyers — left out of momentum
23 smart whales62 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 82% of the money is not a bet
$981 of $12.3K is held equally on both sides by 10 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $9.1K is hedged across different prices by 12 wallets. True directional: YES $366·NO $1.8K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.4K
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.4K(-99.0%)
Whales
35
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,968.1 shares·also $3.7K on NO
$-3944INV $4.0K · WR 58.1%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·846.4 shares·also $440 on NO
$-419INV $423 · WR 57.0%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·730 shares·also $373 on NO
$-361INV $365 · WR 56.3%
B
bubblebustboth sides
Entry 50¢·720 shares·also $360 on NO
$-356INV $360 · WR 55.0%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $45 on NO
$-45INV $45 · WR 78.0%
Q
QuadBTC
Entry 50¢·50 shares
$-25INV $25 · WR 60.1%
O
orangelin1both sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 60.3%
D
darthgeekboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 84.8%
5
5ffpa4f
Entry 49¢·50 shares
$-24INV $25 · WR 56.5%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 35

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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