🐋OrcaLayer
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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$58.8K
1,983 trades
Smart Whales
92
of 748 traders · 27 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

34 YESvs85 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 71 NO taking a side · 12 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+298 new YES$11.5K+585 new NO$47.3K
$10.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 161 buyers — left out of momentum
22 smart whales77 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 80% of the money is not a bet
$1.6K of $12.6K is held equally on both sides by 10 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8.5K is hedged across different prices by 17 wallets. True directional: YES $46·NO $2.5K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.1K
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.0K(-99.0%)
Whales
34
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,465.4 shares·also $4.0K on NO
$-3695INV $3.7K · WR 58.1%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·740 shares·also $370 on NO
$-366INV $370 · WR 56.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·733 shares·also $372 on NO
$-363INV $367 · WR 57.0%
B
bubblebustboth sides
Entry 50¢·640 shares·also $323 on NO
$-317INV $320 · WR 55.0%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 24¢·225.2 shares·also $87 on NO
$-53INV $54 · WR 55.1%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $45 on NO
$-45INV $45 · WR 78.0%
O
orangelin1hedged
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $31 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 60.3%
D
darthgeekboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 84.8%
5
5ffpa4f
Entry 49¢·50 shares
$-24INV $25 · WR 56.5%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 27¢·79 shares·also $16 on NO
$-21INV $21 · WR 57.1%
Showing top 10 of 34

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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