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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$972
67 trades
Smart Whales
87
of 75 traders · 24 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

32 YESvs79 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 66 NO taking a side · 12 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+307 new YES$4.1K+460 new NO$25.4K
$4.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 125 buyers — left out of momentum
19 smart whales71 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 83% of the money is not a bet
$298 of $11.7K is held equally on both sides by 11 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $9.4K is hedged across different prices by 13 wallets. True directional: YES $151·NO $1.9K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.0K
Avg Win Rate
58.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.9K(-99.0%)
Whales
32
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·8,000 shares·also $3.9K on NO
$-3960INV $4.0K · WR 58.1%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·730 shares·also $370 on NO
$-361INV $365 · WR 56.3%
B
bubblebust🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·697.4 shares·also $352 on NO
$-345INV $349 · WR 55.0%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $45 on NO
$-45INV $45 · WR 78.0%
_
_test_i075_T1
Entry 21¢·137 shares
$-27INV $28 · WR 57.1%
H
hevenshine
Entry 42¢·62 shares
$-26INV $26 · WR 55.2%
Q
QuadBTCboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 60.1%
O
orangelin1both sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 60.3%
N
notlikethatboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 68.5%
5
5ffpa4f
Entry 49¢·50 shares
$-24INV $25 · WR 56.5%
Showing top 10 of 32

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 30% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3…