Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$13.6K
1,236 trades
Smart Whales
84
of 648 traders · 21 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
63 YESvs42 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 52 YES vs 21 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 90%· net of hedges
+429 new YES$23.1K+338 new NO$4.1K
$3.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 138 buyers — left out of momentum
63 smart whales34 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 77% of the money is not a bet
$891 of $11.7K is held equally on both sides by 9 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8.1K is hedged across different prices by 12 wallets. True directional: YES $2.5K·NO $129YES Team
Total Invested
$7.0K
Avg Win Rate
68.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.6K(+65.0%)
Whales
63
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,904 shares·also $4.0K on NO
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$3948
+$3948INV $4.0K · WR 58.1%
7
7kFromBigYahu🥈
Entry 99¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
95.5%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $1.5K · WR 95.5%
B
bubblebust🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·730 shares·also $368 on NO
Invested
$365
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$365
+$365INV $365 · WR 55.0%
S
stcharlos3
Entry 99¢·152 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $150 · WR 69.3%
J
jhjhjhjhjh
Entry 97¢·130 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $126 · WR 58.5%
X
xtx-p-001hedged
Entry 99¢·100.6 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$100
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $100 · WR 86.3%
N
not-epstein
Entry 94¢·86.7 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $81 · WR 64.5%
K
Kaiji-ThePredictionMarketAnalyst
Entry 99¢·80.8 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $80 · WR 87.0%
O
orangelinhedged
Entry 76¢·100 shares·also $45 on NO
Invested
$76
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $76 · WR 78.0%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 62¢·89.6 shares·also $21 on NO
Invested
$55
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $55 · WR 55.1%
Showing top 10 of 63
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.6K
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.6K(-99.3%)
Whales
42
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·8,000 shares·also $4.0K on YES
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-3996
$-3996INV $4.0K · WR 58.1%
B
bubblebust🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·735 shares·also $365 on YES
Invested
$368
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-367
$-367INV $368 · WR 55.0%
O
orangelin🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $76 on YES
Invested
$45
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $45 · WR 78.0%
Q
QuadBTCboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 60.1%
O
orangelin1both sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 60.3%
5
5ffpa4fhedged
Entry 49¢·45.3 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$22
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $22 · WR 56.5%
6
0x6d88d2a5...
Entry 39¢·55.6 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $22 · WR 60.0%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 13¢·163.8 shares·also $55 on YES
Invested
$21
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $21 · WR 55.1%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
E
ecclebb57
Entry 54¢·19.2 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 61.3%
Showing top 10 of 42
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