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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$15.5K
743 trades
Smart Whales
56
of 469 traders · 15 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

30 YESvs41 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 29 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+252 new YES$2.9K+279 new NO$13.8K
$3.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 86 buyers — left out of momentum
22 smart whales33 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 59% of the money is not a bet
$912 of $2.9K is held equally on both sides by 9 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $799 is hedged across different prices by 6 wallets. True directional: YES $54·NO $1.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$918
Avg Win Rate
57.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$917(-99.9%)
Whales
30
E
0xe1e556d1...🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·735 shares·also $373 on NO
$-367INV $368 · WR 56.3%
B
bubblebust🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·730 shares·also $368 on NO
$-365INV $365 · WR 55.0%
O
orangelin🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $45 on NO
$-45INV $45 · WR 78.0%
Q
QuadBTCboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 60.1%
O
orangelin1hedged
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $29 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 60.3%
E
EZTRADNL1
Entry 28¢·60.9 shares
$-17INV $17 · WR 60.3%
Z
Zi73
Entry 53¢·19.6 shares
$-10INV $10 · WR 62.6%
F
Fluffy-Anorak-Souvenirboth sides
Entry 50¢·20 shares·also $10 on NO
$-10INV $10 · WR 56.9%
R
riverunit85hedged
Entry 16¢·60 shares·also $48 on NO
$-10INV $10 · WR 55.9%
L
leishenlei
Entry 22¢·23.8 shares
$-5INV $5 · WR 67.8%
Showing top 10 of 30

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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