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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$542
52 trades
Smart Whales
112
of 56 traders · 38 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

88 YESvs62 NO
59%41%
59% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 74% YES by dollars · 65 YES vs 35 NO taking a side · 12 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 75%· net of hedges
+598 new YES$23.6K+494 new NO$13.3K
$16.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 257 buyers — left out of momentum
79 smart whales44 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 88% of the money is not a bet
$8.7K of $14.5K is held equally on both sides by 9 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $4.0K is hedged across different prices by 29 wallets. True directional: YES $1.3K·NO $455
YES Team
Total Invested
$7.6K
Avg Win Rate
61.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.8K(-37.1%)
Whales
88
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·7,976.3 shares·also $4.0K on NO
$-1316INV $4.0K · WR 58.1%
N
Neat-Warlock-Killing🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·1,821.6 shares·also $947 on NO
$-301INV $911 · WR 56.2%
B
bleedingmoney🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·715 shares·also $363 on NO
$-118INV $358 · WR 57.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...hedged
Entry 50¢·700 shares·also $358 on NO
$-116INV $350 · WR 56.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...both sides
Entry 50¢·561.2 shares·also $280 on NO
$-93INV $281 · WR 56.8%
T
Theshafro
Entry 81¢·290.2 shares
$-138INV $235 · WR 83.3%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 80¢·140.6 shares·also $69 on NO
$-65INV $112 · WR 55.1%
T
Twin-Sanction
Entry 67¢·153.8 shares
$-51INV $102 · WR 60.0%
F
facai2027
Entry 88¢·107.4 shares
$-58INV $94 · WR 91.2%
9
0x998fc57b...hedged
Entry 68¢·133 shares·also $21 on NO
$-46INV $91 · WR 55.0%
Showing top 10 of 88

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 55% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2…